One of the main ways traders approach the market is that of
technical analysis. A technical analyst doesn't look at income
statements, balance sheets, company policies, or anything fundamental
about the company. The technician looks at the actual history of trading
and price of a security or index.
This is usually
done in the form of a chart. The security can be a stock, future, index,
currency or a sector. It is flexible enough to work on anything that is
traded in the financial markets.
The technical analyst believes that the market
price reflects all known information about the individual security. It
includes all public and insider information and reflects all the
different investor opinions regarding that security.
Just as fundamental analysis looks at the past
to help make a decision, technical analysis also incorporates the past
to aid in the decision making process.
However, the technical analyst believes that
securities move in trends and these trends continue until something
happens to change that trend. With trends, patterns and levels are
detectable.
The tools of the technical analyst are
indicators, patterns and systems. These tools are applied to charts.
Moving averages, support and resistance lines, envelopes, Bollinger
bands and momentum are all examples of indicators.
These indicators help tell a story and just as a
doctor looks at x-rays to help him make a decision, an analyst looks at
charts to help him make a decision.
Many people believe that to buy and hold is the
right strategy for owning securities and this is fine in some
circumstances. It can also be beneficial to buy and sell the same
security many times in a given period.
ABC.inc might be a company
you want to own for the long term and that's fine. However, there's
nothing wrong with buying at 50, selling at 67 and buying it back at 55.
There's also nothing wrong with buying at
50, selling at 67, shorting the security at about 67 then closing your
short at 55 and buying it back.
In the previous example you have made your
money work a little more efficiently. In the case of buying and holding
you only make money when the security goes up.
Why not make money when the security goes up,
comes down, and goes back up again. This way, your money has worked
harder for you. Technical analysis can help in predicting turning points
and direction in prices.
Before applying technical analysis make sure you thoroughly understand the principals that you are applying.
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Read as much as you can and find a few forms of
technical analysis that you feel comfortable with. Remember you only
need to find one thing that works in order to make money.
Good Trading
Best Regards
Mark McRae
Mark McRae
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